Moncarapachense vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 0
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 2
MON
20%
20%
60%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
MON
7 - 0
MEG
90%
8%
3%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
IMO
1 - 3
MON
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
GUI
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 2
ALM
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PIN
0 - 0
FCC
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
3 - 1
FCC
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 3
FCB
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 0
FCC
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |