Moncarapachense vs Faro e Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
3 - 3
MON
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
CUL
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
QUA
0 - 0
MON
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MON
4 - 1
CAR
88%
9%
3%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
PAD
1 - 4
MON
15%
19%
65%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Faro e Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
FAB
2 - 1
ARM
33%
23%
44%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 1
FAB
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FAB
1 - 0
ESP
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
FAR
2 - 3
FAB
66%
18%
15%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
FAB
7 - 0
MEG
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |