Moncarapachense vs Comércio e Indústria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
LOU
24%
22%
54%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 0
MON
90%
7%
2%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ORI
3 - 1
MON
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
LOU
2 - 0
MON
67%
20%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
SCP
9%
19%
72%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Comércio e Indústria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
OGR
4 - 2
CIN
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CIN
4 - 0
ARR
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CHC
1 - 0
CIN
31%
23%
46%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CIN
3 - 3
AMO
8%
15%
77%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SES
0 - 0
CIN
32%
24%
45%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |