Moncarapachense vs Amora FC analysis

Moncarapachense Amora FC
50 ELO 51
-13% Tilt -20.3%
4903º General ELO ranking 4234º
88º Country ELO ranking 76º
ELO win probability
37%
Moncarapachense
26.1%
Draw
36.8%
Amora FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
Moncarapachense
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.8%
Win probability
Amora FC
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Moncarapachense
+5%
+42%
Amora FC

Points and table prediction

Moncarapachense
Their league position
Amora FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
57
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lusitano Évora 1911
58
58
100%
Amora FC
57
57
100%
Sintrense
52
52
100%
Moncarapachense
51
51
100%
Louletano
50
50
100%
Serpa
45
45
100%
Estrela da Amadora B
30
30
0%
GD Lagoa
30
30
0%
Comércio e Indústria
29
29
100%
Fabril Barreiro
10º
27
27
10º
100%
Moura
11º
26
26
11º
100%
Operário
12º
23
23
12º
100%
FC Barreirense
13º
22
22
13º
100%
Estrela Vendas Novas
14º
5
5
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Moncarapachense
Amora FC
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Moncarapachense
Amora FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Moncarapachense
Moncarapachense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2025
LAG
GD Lagoa
0 - 0
Moncarapachense
MON
31%
27%
42%
50 36 14 0
02 Feb. 2025
MON
Moncarapachense
1 - 1
Estrela da Amadora B
EST
66%
20%
14%
50 27 23 0
26 Jan. 2025
SIN
Sintrense
2 - 1
Moncarapachense
MON
47%
26%
27%
50 51 1 0
19 Jan. 2025
MON
Moncarapachense
1 - 0
Louletano
LOU
38%
27%
36%
49 52 3 +1
12 Jan. 2025
CIN
Comércio e Indústria
0 - 1
Moncarapachense
MON
29%
26%
45%
49 31 18 0

Matches

Amora FC
Amora FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2025
AMO
Amora FC
3 - 0
Estrela Vendas Novas
EVN
69%
18%
13%
51 26 25 0
02 Feb. 2025
FAB
Fabril Barreiro
0 - 1
Amora FC
AMO
19%
24%
57%
51 39 12 0
26 Jan. 2025
AMO
Amora FC
1 - 1
Operário
OPE
78%
15%
7%
51 36 15 0
19 Jan. 2025
ALE
Lusitano Évora 1911
0 - 1
Amora FC
AMO
46%
27%
28%
50 56 6 +1
12 Jan. 2025
AMO
Amora FC
2 - 1
Serpa
SER
49%
24%
27%
49 49 0 +1