Monção vs Pevidém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
46.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
14º
12º
43
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
MON
46%
23%
32%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
GRA
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
RIO
3%
8%
89%
|
20 | 80 | 60 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
FCB
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +4 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 0
MON
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Pevidém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
PEV
1 - 1
SAN
14%
19%
67%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
PEV
76%
15%
10%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
PEV
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 0
PEV
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PEV
3 - 1
MON
15%
19%
66%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +3 |