Monção vs Paçô ARC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+142%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
MON
69%
18%
14%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
PER
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 2
MON
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
MLI
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paçô ARC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PAC
3 - 2
COU
29%
23%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 0
PAC
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PAC
1 - 1
AAR
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
NEV
2 - 0
PAC
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PAC
2 - 4
LAN
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |