Monção vs Brito SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
49.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
14º
12º
35
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PED
0 - 1
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
SMA
15%
20%
66%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AMA
4 - 2
MON
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 4
VIL
26%
22%
52%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
MON
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Brito SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 1
SMA
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
BRI
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 0
VIA
25%
23%
53%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TIR
0 - 1
BRI
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 0
VPE
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |