Monaro Panthers vs Woden Valley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
55.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
TUG
2 - 1
MON
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 3
MON
60%
19%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
COO
24%
20%
56%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAN
6 - 1
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MON
3 - 7
CAN
12%
16%
73%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Woden Valley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
WOD
1 - 3
COO
65%
17%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 2
WOD
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAN
4 - 0
WOD
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 1
WOD
26%
20%
54%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
WOD
2 - 4
BEL
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |