Monaro Panthers vs Tuggeranong United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
20%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
BEL
6%
12%
82%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 2
MON
92%
6%
2%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MON
1 - 2
BEL
7%
13%
80%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
WOD
4 - 2
MON
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MON
0 - 2
COE
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TUG
5 - 2
CUA
19%
19%
62%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
COE
5 - 2
TUG
88%
8%
4%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TUG
1 - 4
GUN
10%
15%
75%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BEL
5 - 1
TUG
90%
7%
2%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
COO
5 - 0
TUG
92%
6%
2%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | 0 |