Monaro Panthers vs Tuggeranong United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+118%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MON
2 - 0
WOD
17%
19%
64%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 5
COO
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MON
1 - 8
CAN
13%
18%
69%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
WOD
3 - 1
MON
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 0
MON
91%
7%
3%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TUG
1 - 5
COO
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAN
3 - 2
TUG
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CAN
8 - 1
TUG
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 0
TUG
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
TUG
1 - 0
WOD
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |