Monaro Panthers vs Tuggeranong United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
COO
4 - 1
MON
75%
15%
11%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
CAN
24%
22%
54%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 1
MON
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MON
0 - 4
CAN
30%
23%
48%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -3 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
TUG
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 4
TUG
88%
9%
4%
|
19 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TUG
1 - 6
COO
15%
19%
67%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
4 - 3
TUG
83%
12%
6%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TUG
2 - 3
BEL
11%
17%
72%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
TUG
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |