Monaro Panthers vs O'Connor Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
GUN
0 - 4
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CAN
0 - 2
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
MON
1 - 2
QCS
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
YOO
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
OKF
1 - 5
MON
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
OKF
2 - 3
CAN
24%
22%
54%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
OKF
0 - 2
YOO
72%
15%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
OKF
1 - 5
GUN
41%
23%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
OKF
2 - 3
TUG
67%
17%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
QCS
3 - 2
OKF
14%
17%
70%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -1 |