Monaro Panthers vs Canberra Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
69.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
WOD
3 - 1
MON
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 0
MON
91%
7%
3%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MON
2 - 6
TUG
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
COO
2 - 0
MON
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MON
0 - 5
CAN
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Canberra Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 0
CAN
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 1
BEL
34%
23%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 1
CAN
52%
22%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAN
5 - 0
WOD
66%
19%
16%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MON
0 - 5
CAN
14%
18%
68%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | +1 |