Monaro Panthers vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
52.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
7º
5º
35
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
OKF
2 - 1
MON
26%
21%
53%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WWF
0 - 2
MON
14%
18%
69%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
GUN
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
COO
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 2
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 3
COO
70%
16%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TUG
1 - 6
CAN
8%
14%
78%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
OKF
1 - 1
CAN
12%
15%
73%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 2
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 2
GUN
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |