Monaro Panthers vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
67.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
MON
1 - 4
WOD
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
CAN
14%
20%
66%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | +3 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
TUG
4 - 2
MON
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
MON
3 - 7
COO
16%
19%
64%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 1
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
TUG
1 - 2
CAN
13%
18%
70%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 2
COO
51%
22%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 0
CAN
38%
24%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 0
BEL
43%
22%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 5
CAN
78%
14%
9%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |