Monaro Panthers vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
47.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
TUG
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CAN
4 - 0
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -4 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
WOD
1 - 2
MON
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CAN
4 - 0
MON
64%
20%
17%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
MON
2 - 2
BEL
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
WOD
0 - 4
CAN
18%
20%
62%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TUG
0 - 1
CAN
15%
19%
66%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CAN
4 - 0
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GOU
1 - 9
CAN
14%
18%
68%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
CAN
5 - 4
WOD
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |