Monaro Panthers vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
COO
0 - 2
MON
40%
23%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
MON
1 - 3
CAN
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BEL
6 - 2
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CAN
3 - 2
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
GOU
0 - 12
MON
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
CAN
6 - 3
COO
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
CAN
0 - 5
CAN
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAN
3 - 2
BEL
34%
24%
42%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 4
CAN
82%
13%
6%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CAN
19 - 0
GOU
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |