FAI Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Monaghan United vs FC Carlow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaghan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
ATH
4 - 4
MON
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2010 |
MON
4 - 2
WEX
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
12%
18%
69%
|
57 | 16 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2010 |
LIM
0 - 3
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
FIN
0 - 0
MON
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FC Carlow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
12%
18%
69%
|
16 | 57 | 41 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
WAT
15%
21%
65%
|
16 | 61 | 45 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 2
COB
16%
23%
62%
|
14 | 61 | 47 | +2 |