FAI Cup 1/16
Global 6-2
Monaghan United vs Cherry Orchard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaghan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
CHO
2 - 2
MON
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 14 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
MON
2 - 3
UCD
34%
30%
36%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
SHE
2 - 1
MON
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
LON
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
FIN
1 - 2
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cherry Orchard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
CHO
2 - 2
MON
13%
19%
68%
|
14 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2007 |
MAL
2 - 1
CHO
36%
24%
39%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
KIL
1 - 0
CHO
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 58 | 42 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
CHO
3 - 0
SMA
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |