Monagas vs Unión Lara analysis


57	ELO	60
-3.8%	Tilt	-7.4%
1522º	General ELO ranking	24041º
11º	Country ELO ranking	68º
ELO win probability

33.9%

Monagas

23.6%

Draw

42.5%

Unión Lara

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

33.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%

23.6%

Draw

0-0

4.4%

1-1

10.7%

2-2

6.5%

3-3

1.7%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

23.6%

42.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Monagas

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 Aug. 2014	MON 0 - 1 ESC 30% 28% 43%	56	66	10	0
06 Aug. 2014	ULA 0 - 1 MON 64% 20% 16%	54	61	7	+2
14 Dec. 2013	ANG 0 - 1 MON 37% 25% 38%	53	47	6	+1
01 Dec. 2013	MON 8 - 2 CAR 71% 19% 11%	53	41	12	0
27 Nov. 2013	MIN 2 - 1 MON 37% 25% 38%	54	46	8	-1

Matches

Unión Lara

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
10 Aug. 2014	FAL 1 - 2 ULA 24% 26% 50%	61	49	12
06 Aug. 2014	ULA 0 - 1 MON 64% 20% 16%	61	54	7
09 Sep. 2007	BAR 5 - 2 ULA 41% 24% 35%	61	57	4