Monagas vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
POL
0 - 3
MON
32%
27%
40%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
URE
3 - 0
MON
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
ESC
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MIN
0 - 2
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FAL
0 - 1
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 1
FAL
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 1
DIA
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
YAR
4 - 1
FAL
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 1
POL
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |