Monagas vs UCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
REA
0 - 0
MON
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
MON
2 - 0
DEP
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 0
MON
52%
24%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
CFC
20%
23%
56%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LAR
3 - 2
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
UCV
2 - 0
DEP
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 0
UCV
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
UCV
2 - 3
REA
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
UCV
64%
21%
16%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
4 - 2
UCV
63%
20%
18%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |