Monagas vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 3
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
URE
47%
27%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 0
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
MIN
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DIA
0 - 0
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
URE
3 - 1
POL
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
POL
1 - 0
MIN
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 3
POL
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
POL
1 - 1
FAL
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
POL
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |