Monagas vs Mineros de Guayana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
ANG
2 - 0
MON
21%
23%
56%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TAC
3 - 0
MON
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ZUL
2 - 0
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
YAR
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
TRU
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Guayana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
MIN
2 - 2
CCP
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 0
YAR
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LLA
4 - 0
MIN
24%
27%
50%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 3
MIR
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ZUL
1 - 0
MIN
31%
26%
44%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |