Monagas vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
MON
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
UCV
2 - 2
MON
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
REA
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 1
MON
27%
26%
48%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MET
2 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MET
4 - 1
REA
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ANG
1 - 1
MET
34%
27%
40%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
MET
3 - 3
MIN
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
MET
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |