Monagas vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 0
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MIN
3 - 1
MON
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
LLA
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CFC
2 - 1
MON
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
ARA
27%
28%
46%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
TAC
3 - 0
EST
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TUC
5 - 1
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
EST
1 - 0
ATL
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
EST
2 - 2
ZUL
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |