Monagas vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LAR
3 - 0
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
LAR
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
ZAM
51%
23%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
LAR
1 - 0
MIN
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MIN
1 - 0
LAR
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LAR
3 - 0
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
LAR
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
LAR
6 - 2
ZAM
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +2 |