Monagas vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
MON
2 - 0
ZAM
46%
28%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
EST
2 - 1
MON
24%
25%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
MON
2 - 3
ANZ
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
LLA
2 - 1
MON
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
MON
0 - 3
CFC
44%
28%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
LAR
4 - 3
LLA
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CFC
5 - 1
LAR
62%
24%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
LAR
3 - 1
MIN
32%
28%
41%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
ARA
3 - 1
LAR
64%
23%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
LAR
2 - 1
CDS
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |