Monagas vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
EST
51%
22%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
MON
36%
24%
40%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 1
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 1
EST
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
DEP
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
CAR
48%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
DEP
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 1
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |