Monagas vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 4
TAC
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
DEP
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
4 - 2
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
NAC
2 - 1
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
ENV
1 - 1
MON
52%
24%
23%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DEF
2 - 0
BOS
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 2
DEF
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CSM
0 - 0
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 0
DEF
40%
27%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
BOS
0 - 1
DEF
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |