Monagas vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 1
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
BAR
74%
17%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ZAM
2 - 4
MON
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 2
MON
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
APC
50%
23%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
EST
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 0
CAR
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
TAC
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DRZ
2 - 1
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |