Monagas vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
ROY
51%
22%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
TAC
0 - 0
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
ZAM
38%
26%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
ROY
2 - 1
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LAR
2 - 0
MON
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 0
EST
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CFC
1 - 1
ARA
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 0
ZUL
24%
28%
49%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TRU
2 - 1
ARA
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 1
APC
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |