Monagas II vs UCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
MON
60%
21%
20%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 1
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
ANG
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
UCV
3 - 2
ANG
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
UCV
2 - 2
SCG
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
UCV
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
UCV
2 - 1
CDS
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ANG
3 - 0
UCV
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |