Monagas II vs Caracas II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
MIN
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
TUC
2 - 1
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
EST
70%
17%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ARR
5 - 2
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
MON
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ANG
3 - 1
CAR
44%
24%
31%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
REA
44%
24%
33%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
UCV
1 - 0
CAR
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
GUA
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
MIN
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |