Monagas II vs Arroceros de Calabozo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
52%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MON
1 - 3
GUA
28%
25%
48%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ANG
2 - 2
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
REA
25%
25%
51%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
UCV
1 - 0
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
CAR
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 1
ANG
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
REA
2 - 2
ARR
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
5 - 2
ARR
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 0
MIN
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ARR
2 - 1
TUC
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |