Monaco vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1961 |
LHA
1 - 1
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1961 |
MON
3 - 0
ASS
61%
20%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
RAC
3 - 0
MON
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
ANG
1 - 4
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1961 |
MON
3 - 2
LIM
69%
18%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1961 |
VAL
1 - 0
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1961 |
VAL
3 - 1
LIM
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1961 |
SED
2 - 1
VAL
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
VAL
0 - 2
REI
20%
21%
59%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
TFC
2 - 2
VAL
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |