Monaco vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
5º
2º
55
1º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 2
MON
19%
23%
58%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MON
3 - 0
LEN
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
NAN
3 - 3
MON
16%
22%
62%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MON
3 - 0
STR
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CLE
2 - 4
MON
21%
24%
56%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
PSG
2 - 3
NIC
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NIC
2 - 0
STR
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NIC
0 - 0
LYO
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 1
NIC
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
34%
27%
38%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |