Monaco vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
GUI
3 - 1
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
REN
0 - 1
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
NAN
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ETG
1 - 0
MON
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
MON
6 - 0
LEN
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 2
LOR
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 1
NIC
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 1
PSG
14%
22%
64%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GIR
1 - 1
NIC
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NIC
2 - 0
BAS
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |