Monaco vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
MON
2 - 1
LYO
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
PSG
0 - 1
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
SOC
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
MON
4 - 0
MPL
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
TOU
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NIC
0 - 1
AUX
42%
28%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MPL
1 - 0
NIC
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
PLA
2 - 1
NIC
13%
23%
64%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 2
USB
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 1
NIC
28%
29%
43%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |