Monaco vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
24.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CAE
2 - 2
MON
43%
27%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
NAN
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
BLA
0 - 1
MON
8%
19%
73%
|
84 | 37 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
MON
3 - 4
GIR
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
VAL
3 - 1
MON
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 0
AUX
48%
27%
26%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 0
LHA
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
ARR
1 - 3
NIC
10%
22%
68%
|
84 | 38 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
TFC
2 - 2
NIC
39%
30%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
NIC
0 - 1
LIL
42%
29%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |