Monaco vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
LHA
0 - 3
MON
22%
26%
52%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
MON
0 - 1
GIR
53%
24%
23%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
FCG
0 - 5
MON
22%
25%
53%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 3
MON
31%
28%
42%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MON
3 - 1
AUX
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
NIC
0 - 1
LYO
22%
26%
53%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
LEN
0 - 0
NIC
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 1
NAN
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 1
NIC
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 2
SOC
36%
29%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |