Monaco vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
MON
0 - 1
LIL
39%
23%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
GIR
4 - 3
MON
81%
11%
8%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
MAR
5 - 1
MON
57%
20%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1953 |
MON
0 - 0
SOC
52%
21%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
STR
3 - 0
MON
39%
23%
38%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
MAR
0 - 0
NIC
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
NIC
5 - 0
SÈT
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
NIC
3 - 4
GIR
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1953 |
NÎM
1 - 1
NIC
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
NIC
1 - 1
SFP
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |