Monaco vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
MON
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
MON
0 - 0
TFC
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MON
4 - 1
MPL
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
GIR
0 - 2
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
MON
5 - 2
TOT
17%
22%
61%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOR
1 - 0
VAL
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 0
LOR
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LOR
2 - 1
NAN
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LIL
1 - 0
LOR
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
LOR
1 - 3
PSG
20%
25%
55%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | -1 |