Monaco vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
MON
0 - 1
PSG
49%
28%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
MON
2 - 0
LOR
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 0
MON
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
MON
1 - 1
CAE
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
MPL
2 - 2
LIL
26%
29%
45%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
LIL
3 - 2
AUX
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SOC
1 - 1
LIL
40%
30%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
LIL
2 - 1
GIR
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
REN
2 - 1
LIL
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |