Monaco vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
20.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
MON
0 - 0
CAE
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
LYO
3 - 1
MON
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
MON
1 - 3
ASN
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
NAN
2 - 3
MON
36%
29%
36%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
VAL
1 - 0
MON
26%
29%
45%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
LEN
1 - 2
REN
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 0
LEN
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
LEN
2 - 0
AUX
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
FCK
2 - 1
LEN
48%
27%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
LYO
3 - 0
LEN
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |