UCL Qualifying Playoffs Final
Global 2-3
Monaco vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 0
MON
19%
23%
58%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
MON
3 - 1
SPA
44%
24%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
NAN
75%
16%
8%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
SPA
0 - 2
MON
52%
22%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
RSO
2 - 1
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
SHA
2 - 0
MET
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
SHA
2 - 1
GNK
42%
23%
35%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SHA
1 - 2
PFC
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
GNK
1 - 2
SHA
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
LVI
0 - 3
SHA
11%
19%
70%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |