Europa League 1/32
Global 3-4
Monaco vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1984 |
FCR
2 - 1
MON
29%
29%
41%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
MON
2 - 0
SOC
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1984 |
LEN
2 - 2
MON
47%
25%
27%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1984 |
MON
7 - 0
MET
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1984 |
AUX
2 - 0
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
BER
0 - 3
CSK
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
CSK
2 - 2
SLI
70%
18%
13%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
ETA
3 - 1
CSK
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
CSK
0 - 1
LSO
63%
21%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
LSO
1 - 0
CSK
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |