Monaco vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
PSG
4 - 1
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MON
4 - 2
AUX
71%
18%
11%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
INT
3 - 0
MON
82%
12%
6%
|
93 | 100 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MON
3 - 2
REN
56%
23%
21%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 0
ASV
54%
23%
23%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SLB
3 - 2
MOR
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ESA
2 - 3
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
JUV
0 - 2
SLB
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 99 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 1
SLB
23%
25%
53%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
SLB
4 - 5
FCB
10%
15%
75%
|
89 | 99 | 10 | 0 |