Monaco vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
LYO
37%
26%
38%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
LIL
0 - 1
MON
37%
28%
35%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
ETG
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
NAN
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
GUI
56%
25%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 1
BAS
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
GIR
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 1
BAS
12%
19%
70%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 1
BAS
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
REN
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |