Monaco vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
LYO
3 - 1
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
MON
2 - 0
GIR
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
MON
6 - 0
TRO
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2003 |
GUI
3 - 1
MON
29%
26%
46%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
MON
4 - 1
SOC
64%
20%
16%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
BAS
0 - 2
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
PSG
0 - 0
BAS
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
LEN
2 - 0
BAS
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 2
SOC
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
SED
2 - 2
BAS
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |